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The Case for Impeachment

av Allan J. Lichtman

MedlemmarRecensionerPopularitetGenomsnittligt betygOmnämnanden
1056257,477 (4)3
NATIONAL BESTSELLER "Lichtman has written what may be the most important book of the year."  --The Hill What are the ranges and limitations of presidential authority? What are the standards of truthfulness that a president must uphold? What will it take to impeach Donald J. Trump? Professor Allan J. Lichtman, who has correctly forecasted thirty years of presidential outcomes, answers these questions, and more, in The Case for Impeachment--a deeply convincing argument for impeaching the 45th president of the United States. In the fall of 2016, Allan J. Lichtman made headlines when he predicted that Donald J. Trump would defeat the heavily favored Democrat, Hillary Clinton, to win the presidential election. Now, in clear, nonpartisan terms, Lichtman lays out the reasons Congress could remove Trump from the Oval Office: his ties to Russia before and after the election, the complicated financial conflicts of interest at home and abroad, and his abuse of executive authority. The Case for Impeachment also offers a fascinating look at presidential impeachments throughout American history, including the often-overlooked story of Andrew Johnson's impeachment, details about Richard Nixon's resignation, and Bill Clinton's hearings. Lichtman shows how Trump exhibits many of the flaws (and more) that have doomed past presidents. As the Nixon Administration dismissed the reporting of Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein as "character assassination" and "a vicious abuse of the journalistic process," Trump has attacked the "dishonest media," claiming, "the press should be ashamed of themselves." Historians, legal scholars, and politicians alike agree: we are in politically uncharted waters--the durability of our institutions is being undermined and the public's confidence in them is eroding, threatening American democracy itself. Most citizens--politics aside--want to know where the country is headed. Lichtman argues, with clarity and power, that for Donald Trump's presidency, smoke has become fire.… (mer)
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the case for impeachment by Allan J. Lichtman. 2017.
Allan J. Lichtman is a professor at American University, who has correctly predicted the election of the past 8 presidents by a mathematical calculation. He predicted Trumps presidency. He also predicted his impeachment.
This book is written in a way that is easy to read, to understand, and to follow, and presents stellar examples of why he believes Trumps narcissism, grandiosity and incapacity would lead to his abuse and misuse of power.
Lichtman starts with a brief history of impeachment, and how it was used by Thomas Jefferson to get rid of judges. He compares Trump to Andrew Johnson, and Richard Nixon. In the first month of his presidency, Trump spoke more about people who do not support him as haters, using hate as a motivator, than any other president. It told his base to separate the followers from the haters and incited division and violence, and is a fight against democracy. He follows Trump's legacy and history.....Trump Foundation, fraudulent charities, Cuba, the Atlantic Casinos, Trump University, Trumps model management. It was emotionally difficult to see his exploitation of immigrant workers, whom were hired at less than minimum wage, working 12-16 hour days, to build Trump Tower. Many of those workers were never paid. When he was sued for payment of the Tower, he lost. Trump took step after step to delay the case for 15 years before settling. He has lost the respect of banks, financial institutions and most refuse to work with him, now that his much respected Grandfather and father have passed. Becoming 'The Apprentice" and being on 'The Celebrity Apprentice' has been the only money he has ever actually earned. This was a blow to his ego.
Most interesting, to me, were when he discusses Trumps businesses in the Philippines and China, his Trump Tampa venture, also in cities in Florida and New York. These stories certainly give example and credence to the character of this man and his business ability. This is a man who claims to know the art of the deal, but doesn't even show up to defend himself against impeachment.......
Lichtman believes because he won the presidency on hate-mongering, grandiosity, and on lies........Hillary Clinton's emails. Obama's birther-ism, his lies about his own wealth, embedding his family into jobs and into the White House, the lies about the unemployment rate, etc. etc.....would make him vulnerable and easily manipulated by the media. This is when he began to hate the media, Obama, the Democrats, blaming them for exposing him by calling it all Fake News, in long rambling speeches. It went against Trump's belief that anything is true if you can get people to believe you. His numerous civil cases (many still pending until he is no longer president), his many bankruptcies and lawsuits will eventually undermine him, and his family, it is believed.
Trumps lies and outright crazy tweets will have ramifications for future Republican party candidates, and Lichtman asserts it will be hard to win back credibility moving forward.
This book is thorough, detailed and is as fascinating to read as it is chilling. If your looking for a book to lay out in an easy to follow timeline of Trump, this is one I would include reading. Excellent points are made. ( )
  over.the.edge | Nov 24, 2020 |
Allan J. Lichtman is a distinguished Harvard professor and political historian. Two months before the election, he predicted that Trump would win, (and received praise from Trump for his perspicacity). He also predicted that Trump would be impeached (which prediction Trump overlooked). In the first part of the book, Lichtman provides an overview and history of impeachment, when it has been used, and when it should be used. The longer, second part of the book discusses and analyzes the many "high crimes and other misdemeanors" committed by Trump. And since this book was published early in his presidency (April 2017--pre-firing of Comey, pre-multiple Russia contacts revelations), the case for impeachment has only been strengthened.

Following is some random information/comments from the book I want to remember:

---His crimes in general terms: appointing cabinet members dedicated to destroying the institutions they head; no prior public service; a record of enriching himself at the expense of others; a penchant for lying; disregard of the law; conflicts of interest; mistreatment of women; covering up his misdeeds; dubious connections with Russia; reversing the battle against climate change.

--In the section discussing the history of impeachment, he clarifies that impeachment is of a "political nature" and reaches far beyond actual crimes. The questions to be considered regarding impeachment are: 1. What are the grounds?; 2. What is the scope of presidential authority; 3. What is the president's responsibility to obey the law? Lichtman also clarifies that a president's actions before becoming president can be considered in determining whether to impeach.

--Trump is a serial law breaker, including:

--There were many civil law suits regarding racketeering, civil rights violations, and other illegal acts prior to his taking office.

--Trump's charity: He never registered it, and by not registering it he avoided audits which would have revealed illegal self-dealing. Self-dealings included using the foundation's money to settle his personal debts. He also purchased self-portraits and sports memorabilia with his charity's funds. And he made political contributions (particularly to Pam Bondi for Florida A.G. during a time she was considering a matter involving him) with the charity's funds.

--Violations of the Cuban embargo. He spent $68,000 in 1998 to explore Cuban business opportunities in violation of the embargo. This is a federal crime, punishable by up to 10 years in prison, and $1 million in corporate and $250,000 in personal fines.

--His N.J. and N.Y. casinos have paid hundreds of thousands of dollars in fines for violations, including for civil rights violations and bank reporting violations. When his casinos collapsed, $1.5 billion dollars was lost by investors.

--His fraudulent university led to a federal class action suit charging racketeering violations. He settled the suit for $25 million shortly before entering office.

--His exploitation of undocumented immigrants. He built Trump Tower in NYC using undocumented Polish workers. He failed to pay them, and ultimately they brought suit against Trump, who dragged the suit out for 15 years before settling. In addition, Trump Modeling Agency has a history of using undocumented immigrants, and taking advantage of them financially.

--Trump's Conflicts of Interest

These mostly arise because of Trump's failure to divest himself of his business interests contrary to the practice of past presidents. Some of these include:

--Dealings with the Philippines and Duterte--The head of the Trump Tower in Manila was appointed by Duterte as a special envoy to the U.S. at a time when there are sensitive issues about aid to Philippine trade and U.S. military arrangements in the Philippines.

--Dealings with China--In February 2017 a number of trademark rights were issued to Trump business interests by China. (Trump had spent a decade and hundreds of thousands of dollars seeking these trademark rights). Experts have stated that this action by China was unprecedented. It occurred right after Trump ended his flirtation with a "Two China Policy." In addition, Trump has failed to label China as a currency manipulator as promised during his campaign. Trump also has a 30% stake in a company owing $950 million to lenders including the Bank of China.

--Trump's debts (largely unknown) also constitute a conflict of interest. We know that Trump owes more than $1 billion to 150 financial institutions. The government has to make regulatory and policy decisions regarding these institutions. Two of his largest creditors, Wells Fargo and Deutsche Bank have been sanctioned for fraud and Russian money-laundering.

--Domestic conflicts--Melania's and Ivanka's stated intents to profit from the office.

The book also goes through his history of lies (too numerous to list here). Lichtman points out that the lies can jeopardize national security, in addition to covering up crimes. What we know about Trumps Russian connection has largely expanded since publication of this book. Lichtman goes into something I had never considered: crimes against humanity, which broadly include actions taken by Trump to deny or reverse measures taken to remedy climate change. At the time the book was published Trump hadn't withdrawn from the Paris Climate Accord, but Lichtman mentions that if Trump were to do so, it might be one of the grounds for impeachment. He also mentions the appointment of the following cabinet members: Scott Pruitt--EPA; Rick Perry--Energy; Rex Tillerson--State; Ryan Zinke--Interior.

This book is a valuable read for the way it sets everything out in a logical, factual and methodical way.

Recommended.

4 stars ( )
  arubabookwoman | Jan 22, 2018 |
The author, Alan J. Lichtman, of this book is the Harvard professor who predicted against all odds that Donald J. Trump would be elected president in 2016. Trump was so impressed with this prediction that he acknowledged the author with a congratulatory tweet. However, as is in his character, Trump only read the part of the prediction that he liked and ignored the rest. This author also predicted, based on Trump's personality and previous actions, that he would be impeached. In this book Lichtman discussed the history of impeachment, how it works and when it has been and should be used. He then lays out the case for the impeachment of Trump. It is well thought out and reasoned. His arguments are sound. What is even more frightening is that the case appears to gain strength on an almost daily basis. This is a book for every American to read, whether you are a Trump supporter or not. ( )
  Susan.Macura | Sep 4, 2017 |
Lichtman, who had correctly predicted the previous eight presidential elections, applied his usual model to an analysis of the 2016 election and, two months before the election, predicted that Trump would win. But he went further and analyzed "Trump's past and proven behavior, as well as the history of politics and impeachment in our country" and concluded that while Trump would be elected, he would also be impeached. This book lays out Lichtman's rationale. It includes events through April, 2017, so the events of recent months (meetings in Europe, Comey and the special prosecutor, and the withdrawal from the Paris climate accord) had not yet occurred.

Other than his prediction for November, I was unfamiliar with Lichtman when I picked up this book, but whatever his actual political affiliation, he is a committed critic of Trump. Whether a Trump supporter would ever read this I can't tell, since factual evidence has seemed so suspect to them, but the book is very heavily footnoted, so if they'd like they could double-check and weigh each piece of evidence Lichtman provides.

There is one aspect of Trump's behavior and its possible repercussions that was completely new to me: the possibility of the International Criminal Court becoming involved because of the "crime against humanity" of environmental damage, recently added to their remit.

The book will give Trump adversaries mixed feelings. First: here's a book about what we hope will happen!!! The first few chapters present the cases of the three presidents who have been threatened with impeachment: Andrew Johnson (Lincoln's successor, acquitted by the Senate), Bill Clinton (acquitted by the Senate), and Richard Nixon, who resigned before proceedings began after he was informed by Congressional leaders that he would be both impeached and convicted. But then there is the rest of the book, which lays out Trump's history and his first few months as President, and it is a thorough, and thoroughly depressing, read. There is just so much to choose from, and for myself, I found it overwhelming that he's been able to proceed this far without being really threatened with impeachment or sanction. It's one thing to follow the news day by day, but to see it all laid out in one place is to realize how much one person with power can thwart morality, the Constitution, and the American ethos. On the other hand, as pundits continue to tell us, preparing for impeachment can take years, and at least people like Lichtman are keeping a record. I just hope it proceeds quickly enough to avoid permanently changing our institutions past the point at which they can be repaired.

There is one awkward chapter towards the end: a letter to Trump about what he needs to do to avoid impeachment. Considering that it's well known that Trump hates to read and loathes criticism, it seems affected to use this format.

To Trump supporters I'd say, read this to see what the fuss is about. For his foes, read it to give yourself hope. ( )
  auntmarge64 | Jul 3, 2017 |
http://nwhyte.livejournal.com/2834964.html

Lichtman, a retired history professor, lays out the pathways that might lead to Trump's removal from office under the provisions in the Constitution, starting by looking at the record of their past use (Johnson, Nixon and Clinton) and then setting out the potential charge sheet, though here I think he veers into some wildly improbably territory (however much I disapprove of Trump's policies on climate, I don't see that as a likely ground for removal from office).

What becomes clear to me is that while all of this is useful fact, we are not yet remotely near the political circumstance where it's going to become politically relevant. Nate Silver had a good long piece last week looking at the circumstances which must align; most critically, you need a combination of obvious wrong-doing and relative unpopularity of the President to enable the President's own congressional allies to desert their man. Arguably in the Johnson case, the president was very unpopular but alleged wrong-doing was not obvious, and in the Clinton case, while it was clear that wrong had been done, the president remained popular; only in the Nixon case were both criteria fulfilled. We may be headed in that direction, but we are not there yet. ( )
  nwhyte | Jun 25, 2017 |
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Impeachment will "proceed from the misconduct of public men, or, in other words, from the abuse or violation of some public trust," and "they relate chiefly to injuries done immediately to the society itself."
-Alexander Hamilton, The Federalist, 1788
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I began thinking about impeachment before the November 2016 election. (Author's Note)
The Trump administration is awash in investigations, by Special Counsel Robert Mueller, the U. S. House and Senate Intelligence Committees, and the Senate Judiciary Committee. (Introduction)
The first thing you need to know is how impeachment works: The impeachment and removal of a president begins under the Constitution in the United States House of Representatives.
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NATIONAL BESTSELLER "Lichtman has written what may be the most important book of the year."  --The Hill What are the ranges and limitations of presidential authority? What are the standards of truthfulness that a president must uphold? What will it take to impeach Donald J. Trump? Professor Allan J. Lichtman, who has correctly forecasted thirty years of presidential outcomes, answers these questions, and more, in The Case for Impeachment--a deeply convincing argument for impeaching the 45th president of the United States. In the fall of 2016, Allan J. Lichtman made headlines when he predicted that Donald J. Trump would defeat the heavily favored Democrat, Hillary Clinton, to win the presidential election. Now, in clear, nonpartisan terms, Lichtman lays out the reasons Congress could remove Trump from the Oval Office: his ties to Russia before and after the election, the complicated financial conflicts of interest at home and abroad, and his abuse of executive authority. The Case for Impeachment also offers a fascinating look at presidential impeachments throughout American history, including the often-overlooked story of Andrew Johnson's impeachment, details about Richard Nixon's resignation, and Bill Clinton's hearings. Lichtman shows how Trump exhibits many of the flaws (and more) that have doomed past presidents. As the Nixon Administration dismissed the reporting of Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein as "character assassination" and "a vicious abuse of the journalistic process," Trump has attacked the "dishonest media," claiming, "the press should be ashamed of themselves." Historians, legal scholars, and politicians alike agree: we are in politically uncharted waters--the durability of our institutions is being undermined and the public's confidence in them is eroding, threatening American democracy itself. Most citizens--politics aside--want to know where the country is headed. Lichtman argues, with clarity and power, that for Donald Trump's presidency, smoke has become fire.

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