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Was the 2004 Presidential Election Stolen?: Exit Polls, Election Fraud, and the Official Count

av Steve Freeman

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An award-winning statistician and a celebrated journalist investigate the 2004 election results. According to the official count, Bush beat Kerry in the 2004 US presidential election by a margin of three million votes. The exit polls, however, had predicted a margin of victory for Kerry of five million votes. Freeman and Bleifuss analyse the exit poll data and look at documented examples of conventional vote suppression and outright vote fraud. They investigate the possibility that enough election fraud occurred to determine the outcome of the presidential race.… (mer)
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This book deserves to be widely read. Using the “anchor-and-adjust” method with the 2000 election (when DRE voting was not widespread) as anchor, the authors find a near-miraculous appearance of two million new Bush voters in 2004. With CNN’s adjustment of its figures between Nov. 2 and Nov. 3, “[w]e could hardly have a surer sign of a corrupted count.” Freeman and Bleifuss find “a discrepancy on the order of 10 million votes.” Even the most optimistic turnout views do not allow a 2004 Bush victory without Bush winning “significant numbers of Gore 2000 voters.” But do you believe there were large numbers of such voters in 2004?

A DNC report never seriously considered the possibility of fraud.

The authors estimate that John Kerry really won by 5%, “a swing of 8 to 10 million votes from the official count” (p. 174). “In short, every calculation of how America voted indicates that, rather than giving Bush a 3-million-vote plurality, American voters gave Kerry a plurality of at least 5 to 7 million votes” (p.175).

Print and broadcast media have downplayed, ridiculed, or ignored these issues, because, they say, a vast conspiracy would be needed—but the authors argue that this is not so. The New York Times played a leading role in squelching the story. Yet John Allen Paulos, the 2003 winner of the American Association for the Advancement of Science award for the promotion of the public understanding of science, published an Op-Ed in the Philadelphia Inquirer endorsing Freeman’s analysis and expressing surprise at the lack of academic interest. Columns on the subject were killed by the Chicago Tribune’s syndication service, Tribune Media Services.

Compellingly written and analytically cogent, this book is written by an expert in survey design (including polling) and an investigative journalist. ( )
  jensenmk82 | Aug 21, 2009 |
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An award-winning statistician and a celebrated journalist investigate the 2004 election results. According to the official count, Bush beat Kerry in the 2004 US presidential election by a margin of three million votes. The exit polls, however, had predicted a margin of victory for Kerry of five million votes. Freeman and Bleifuss analyse the exit poll data and look at documented examples of conventional vote suppression and outright vote fraud. They investigate the possibility that enough election fraud occurred to determine the outcome of the presidential race.

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